Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 185.827594 215.912153 250.633782 293.975929 347.055807 410.494770 492.884980
2025-08-03 147.036484 184.948338 233.372536 300.927558 394.643703 523.023634 717.595949
2025-08-10 123.342031 163.517752 218.466648 301.328677 427.205735 618.526020 946.802120
2025-08-17 108.432914 149.801609 209.544069 305.548856 462.982813 724.986553 1228.488640
2025-08-24 96.092771 137.202966 199.241404 304.318006 488.180701 819.448978 1525.345082
2025-08-31 86.704445 127.364317 191.115477 304.243820 514.186671 921.486916 1880.681794
2025-09-07 79.996770 120.618057 186.607152 308.967069 549.270815 1050.847996 2359.791904
2025-09-14 71.391211 109.696969 173.555269 295.879555 546.587771 1100.256936 2668.572029
2025-09-21 66.165363 103.727611 168.100939 295.829286 570.189842 1215.741879 3226.854764
2025-09-28 62.029619 99.115457 164.374278 298.351353 599.750078 1355.705461 3956.882306
2025-10-05 60.702658 99.206861 169.128287 318.715378 674.930603 1643.444460 5442.273814
2025-10-12 59.095841 98.586716 172.403780 336.509299 749.024778 1962.753315 7408.889595
2025-10-19 55.324967 93.993860 168.164905 338.891614 790.007467 2220.440611 9558.587654
2025-10-26 52.494530 90.927730 166.709047 347.837540 853.534890 2599.255505 13112.903067
2025-11-02 49.222257 86.635128 162.118371 348.355998 893.497933 2922.116442 17115.273556
2025-11-09 46.684289 83.507366 159.555011 353.415007 949.656199 3355.080877 23319.678921
2025-11-16 43.912473 79.619265 154.824223 351.939966 984.714042 3727.560496 30473.111331
2025-11-23 41.521041 76.275036 150.884299 351.851070 1025.127293 4166.029525 40650.682567
2025-11-30 39.733897 74.015557 149.129136 357.513289 1089.150551 4797.525784 58018.365695
2025-12-07 36.785738 69.034413 140.470268 341.833765 1067.183860 4918.379311 67580.230095
2025-12-14 35.030455 66.476173 137.288642 341.773599 1107.907790 5482.384661 93131.800487
2025-12-21 33.591567 64.481929 135.239764 344.792759 1163.362679 6222.644774 135751.878786
2025-12-28 33.352859 65.114815 139.727715 369.211886 1324.538732 8017.265497 272501.959848